Saturday, May 21, 2011

Amma makes her moves

IIPM Professor Arindam Chaudhuri on 'OBAMA and OSAMA'

With three mammoth rallies in different cities of Tamil Nadu, the AIADMK Supremo is scripting a comeback to power in the state where Assembly elections are due in May next year

Madurai has witnessed many great political shows. The city,Amma billed as the bastion of MK Azhagiri, Union minister for fertilisers and chemicals and elder son of DMK patriarch M Karunanidhi, saw another one on October 18. The temple city was stormed by power-starved AIADMK cadres led by Jayalalitha who, after a four-year hiatus, spewed fire against DMK in a bid to recapture power.

Before Madurai, she held mammoth rallies in Coimbatore and Trichy. The Coimbatore rally was held in July, days after the government organised a hugely successful International Classical Tamil conference boycotted by AIADMK.

Both rallies pulled in the crowds. In Trichy, overwhelmed by the lakhs who had gathered, Jayalalitha exclaimed she had never seen such a huge crowd in her life. Sections of the press also went overboard with reports about the success of the rallies. Consequently, the DMK was forced to arrange public meetings at both places to prove its strength.

Karunanidhi himself addressed crowds there and responded to Jayalalitha's accusations. The fact that DMK had to follow Jaya's rallies with its own meetings, demonstrates that the party is shaken.

The mother of all rallies was in Madurai where zhagiri's writ runs unchallenged. In the run-up, the AIDMK chief received 16 letters threatening her with unpleasant consequences if she made it to Madurai. The Tamil Nadu government has said it will hand over these letters for inquiry to the CBI. Meanwhile, cadres of both parties put up posters in Madurai taking digs at each other. Karunanidhi himself intervened and wrote to his party members not to be carried away by the pricks of the opposition and follow the words of C. N. Annadurai who said: Vaazhaga Vasavalarkal! (long live those who abuse us!).

At the Madurai rally, Jayalalitha spoke for a record two hours. She criticised the policies of the government on many counts but her powerful and best punches were reserved for Azhagiri. ''By participating in this rally I have proved who really has a brave heart (Azhagiri is often called Anja Nenchar, a brave person). There are two governments in Tamil Nadu: one is led by Karunanidhi and the other in the southern part of Tamil Nadu is led by Azhagiri,” she thundered.

Later Jayalalitha claimed 50 lakh people had come for the rally but due to diversions by the police only 25 per cent could reach the venue. However, newspapers peggged the crowds at about 6 lakh.

These rallies have undoubtedly rejuvenated the party. Dr. Maithreyan, Rajya Sabha MP from the AIADMK, is jubilaint. ''The mood in the party is upbeat. We are inching towards Fort Saint George (the building where the Tamil Nadu assembly is located)”, he told TSI.

However, a win will come only with good alliance partners. The current DMK-Congress alliance is very strong as has been proved by the combination's win in the last Assembly and Parliamentary elections. Hence Jayalalitha is trying to pull Congress back to her fold.

''In all her rallies, she did not utter a word against the central government. The reasons are obvious.” comments Solai, a veteran political analyst.

AIADMK is also trying to get the support of actor Vijayakant's Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK). The party has a considerable vote bank of around 10%. Though MDMK and the Communist parties are with the AIADMK, they can't make a winning combination. It is less likely that the people will rise above the alliance arithmetic and vote in favour of the AIADMK.

But Dr Maithreyan exudes confidence. ''In Coimbatore, Trichy and Madurai our leader has proved the people are with us. At the right time, she will take the right decision with regard to the alliance. Our party cadres know it very well,” he says.

Earlier Jayalalitha Mata Amritanandamayi Deviwas quoted in an interview given to an English daily as saying that the Congress has to get out of the DMK alliance. A few days later, Karunanidhi and Stalin were seen waiting at the Chennai airport to welcome Congress supremo Sonia Gandhi who was on her way to Trichy to attend a party function. Karunanidhi even sent his daughter Kanimozhi to Trichy airport to receive Sonia.

Political observers indicate that though Sonia has been warm to the DMK, Rahul Gandhi has been consistently giving the party the cold shoulder. He has never gone to meet Karunanidhi even once in the last five years although he has visited Tamil Nadu many times during this period.

But to dislodge the DMK from power, the AIADMK would need to make herculean efforts, as the party's rule has directly benefited the poor through heaps of freebies.

On the day of her Madurai rally, the chief minister was busy reviewing the ongoing free housing scheme. Jayalalitha would need something more in addition to these huge rallies. But she has taken a step forward. A very bold step indeed.

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